A Validated Model for Sudden Cardiac Death Risk Prediction in Pediatric Hypertrophic Cardiomyopathy.

2020

2020 May 18

1524-4539

<p>Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is the leading cause of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in children and young adults. Our objective was to develop and validate a SCD risk prediction model in pediatric HCM to guide SCD prevention strategies. In an international multi-center observational cohort study, phenotype-positive patients with isolated HCM &lt;18 years at diagnosis were eligible. The primary outcome variable was the time from diagnosis to a composite of SCD events at 5-year follow-up: SCD, resuscitated sudden cardiac arrest (SCA), and aborted SCD, i.e. appropriate shock following primary prevention ICD. Competing risk models with cause-specific hazard regression were used to identify and quantify clinical and genetic factors associated with SCD. The cause-specific regression model was implemented using boosting, and tuned with ten repeated four-fold cross-validations. The final model was fitted using all data with the tuned hyperparameter value that maximizes the c-statistic, and its performance was characterized using c-statistic for competing risk models. The final model was validated in an independent external cohort (SHaRe, n=285). Overall, 572 patients met eligibility criteria with 2855 patient-years of follow-up. The 5-year cumulative proportion of SCD events was 9.1% (14 SCD, 25 resuscitated SCA, 14 aborted SCD). Risk predictors included age at diagnosis, documented non-sustained ventricular tachycardia, unexplained syncope, septal diameter z-score, LV posterior wall diameter z-score, LA diameter z-score, peak LV outflow tract (LVOT) gradient, and presence of a pathogenic variant. Unlike adults, LVOT gradient had an inverse association, and family history of SCD had no association with SCD. Clinical and clinical/genetic models were developed to predict 5-year freedom from SCD. Both models adequately discriminated patients with and without SCD events with a c-statistic of 0.75 and 0.76 respectively and demonstrated good agreement between predicted and observed events in the primary and validation cohorts (validation c-statistic 0.71 and 0.72 respectively). Our study provides a validated SCD risk prediction model with over 70% prediction accuracy and incorporates risk factors that are unique to pediatric HCM. An individualized risk prediction model has the potential to improve the application of clinical practice guidelines and shared decision-making for ICD insertion. URL: https://clinicaltrials.gov Unique Identifier: NCT04036799.</p>

10.1161/CIRCULATIONAHA.120.047235

Circulation

32418493

Outcomes of pediatric patients supported with continuous-flow ventricular assist devices: A report from the Pediatric Interagency Registry for Mechanical Circulatory Support (PediMACS).

2016

585-90

2016 May

1557-3117

<p><strong>BACKGROUND: </strong>Continuous-flow (CF) ventricular assist devices (VADs) have largely replaced pulsatile-flow VADs in adult patients. However, there are few data on CF VADs among pediatric patients. In this study we aimed to describe the overall use, patients' characteristics and outcomes of CF VADs in this population.</p>

<p><strong>METHODS: </strong>The Pediatric Interagency Registry for Mechanical Circulatory Support (PediMACS) is a national registry for U.S. Food and Drug Adminstration (FDA)-approved VADs in patients &lt;19 years of age. Patients undergoing placement of durable CF VADs between September 2012 and June 2015 were included and outcomes were compared with those of adults from the Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support (INTERMACS).</p>

<p><strong>RESULTS: </strong>CF VADs were implanted in 109 patients at 35 hospitals. The median age at implantation was 15 years (2.8 to 18.9 years) and median weight was 62 kg (range 16 to 141 kg). The underlying disease was cardiomyopathy in 89 (82%) patients. The INTERMACS level at time of implant was Level 1 in 20 (19%), Level 2 in 64 (61%) and Levels 3 to 7 in 21 (20%) patients. Most were implanted as LVADs (n = 102, 94%). Median duration of support was 2.3 months (range &lt;1 day to 28 months). Serious adverse event rates were low, including neurologic dysfunction (early event rate 4.1 per 100 patient-months with 2 late events). Competing outcomes analysis at 6 months post-implant indicated 61% transplanted, 31% alive with device in place and 8% death before transplant. These outcomes compared favorably with the 3,894 adults supported with CF VADs as a bridge to transplant.</p>

<p><strong>CONCLUSIONS: </strong>CF VADs are commonly utilized in older children and adolescents, with excellent survival rates. Further study is needed to understand impact of patient and device characteristics on outcomes in pediatric patients.</p>

10.1016/j.healun.2016.01.1228

J. Heart Lung Transplant.

27056612

Prevalence and Severity of Anemia in Children Hospitalized with Acute Heart Failure.

2016

622-629

2016 Dec

1747-0803

<p><strong>OBJECTIVE: </strong>Anemia is common among adult heart failure patients and is associated with adverse outcomes, but data are lacking in children with heart failure. The purpose of this study was to determine the prevalence of anemia in children hospitalized with acute heart failure and to evaluate the association between anemia and adverse outcomes.</p>

<p><strong>DESIGN: </strong>Review of the medical records of 172 hospitalizations for acute heart failure.</p>

<p><strong>SETTING: </strong>Single, tertiary children's hospital.</p>

<p><strong>PATIENTS: </strong>All acute heart failure admissions to our institution from 2007 to 2012.</p>

<p><strong>INTERVENTIONS: </strong>None.</p>

<p><strong>OUTCOME MEASURES: </strong>Composite endpoint of death, mechanical circulatory support deployment, or cardiac transplantation.</p>

<p><strong>RESULTS: </strong>Patients ages ranged in age from 4 months to 23 years, with a median of 7.5 years, IQR 1.2, 15.9. Etiologies of heart failure included: dilated cardiomyopathy (n = 125), restrictive cardiomyopathy (n = 16), transplant coronary artery disease (n = 18), ischemic cardiomyopathy (n = 7), and heart failure after history of congenital heart disease (n = 6). Mean hemoglobin concentration at admission was 11.8 g/dL (±2.0 mg/dL). Mean lowest hemoglobin prior to outcome was 10.8 g/dL (±2.2 g/dL). Anemia (hemoglobin &lt;10 g/dL) was present in 18% of hospitalizations at admission and in 38% before outcome. Anemia was associated with increased risk of death, transplant, or mechanical circulatory support deployment (adjusted odds ratio 1.79, 95% confidence interval = 1.12-2.88, P = .011). For every 1 g/dL increase in the patients' lowest hemoglobin during admission, the odds of death, transplant, or mechanical circulatory support deployment decreased by 18% (adjusted odds ratio = 0.82, 95% confidence interval = 0.74-0.93, P = 0.002).</p>

<p><strong>CONCLUSIONS: </strong>Anemia occurs commonly in children hospitalized for acute heart failure and is associated with increased risk of transplant, mechanical circulatory support, and inhospital mortality.</p>

10.1111/chd.12355

Congenit Heart Dis

27060888

Incidence, Severity, and Association With Adverse Outcome of Hyponatremia in Children Hospitalized With Heart Failure.

2016

1006-10

2016 Oct 1

1879-1913

<p>Hyponatremia is a common finding in adults hospitalized with heart failure (HF) and is associated with longer hospital stays and increased mortality. The significance of hyponatremia in children with HF is not known. We sought to determine the incidence of hyponatremia and association with clinical outcome in children hospitalized with HF. Admission and inpatient serum sodium concentrations were analyzed in 141 consecutive children hospitalized with acute decompensated HF. Inclusion criteria include patients (age, birth to 21&nbsp;years) with biventricular hearts who were hospitalized for HF from January 2007 to December 2012. The primary composite end point was death, cardiac transplantation, or the use of mechanical circulatory support (MCS) during hospitalization. Data for 141 patients were included in the analysis. The cohort included 48 patients (34%) with preexisting HF. Mean serum sodium at admission was 136 ± 4&nbsp;mmol/L (range 124 to 150&nbsp;mmol/L). Hyponatremia (serum sodium &lt;135&nbsp;mmol/L) was present in 45 patients (32%) at admission. Seventy-one patients (75%) with normal serum sodium concentrations at admission subsequently developed acquired hyponatremia during their hospitalization. Hyponatremia persisted at discharge in 17 of 66 patients (26%). Fifty-eight patients (41%) reached the composite end point during hospitalization (death, n&nbsp;= 15; cardiac transplantation, n&nbsp;= 27; MCS, n&nbsp;= 46). Hyponatremia at admission was independently associated with death, cardiac transplantation, or the use of MCS during hospitalization (odds ratio 3.1, p&nbsp;= 0.02). In conclusion, hyponatremia occurs commonly in children hospitalized with acute decompensated HF and is associated with increased risk of in-hospital mortality, cardiac transplantation, and need for MCS.</p>

10.1016/j.amjcard.2016.07.014

Am. J. Cardiol.

27530824